June 5, 2025

Earn-outs in Asian M&A: Bridging Valuation Gaps in a Volatile Deal Environment

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Ongoing macroeconomic volatility, rising interest rates and persistent geopolitical undercurrents have widened valuation gaps across Asia’s M&A landscape. Buyers, wary of paying for projections that may never materialize, are negotiating harder on headline price. Sellers, reluctant to lock in discounts at the bottom of the cycle, are searching for a mechanism that will reward them if their optimism proves justified. Into that impasse steps the earn-out, now a mainstream structuring tool rather than an exotic contingency clause.

An earn-out arrangement, in essence, defers a portion of the consideration and ties its release to post-closing milestones, whether financial metrics, operational triggers or external events. In today’s tight-liquidity environment an earn-out is increasingly viewed as both a price-adjustment valve and a form of low-cost financing, allowing buyers to conserve cash while giving sellers a path to additional value down the road.

Yet flexibility breeds complexity. Earn-out disputes are among the most common post-closing flashpoints. In cross-border Asian deals the risk is amplified by divergent legal systems, uneven enforcement and currency controls. Experience from recent transactions across the region—from South Asia to the Far East—offers guidance on how to craft an earn-out that bridges valuation gaps, contains buyer-seller friction and remains enforceable.

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